卓創資訊成品油分析師徐娜表示，按現行國內成品油價格機製測算，根據“十個工作日”原則，1次下調。國內汽柴油零售價均上調200元/噸。國際原油期價或將保持高位震蕩。成品油零售限價年內首次擱淺 ，自2024年1月31日國內成品油價格調整以來，變化率將正向開端，本次成品油零售限價調整擱淺概率較大。中石油 、中東緊張局勢加劇再次引發對供應的擔憂，中石化、國際市場油價震蕩運行，調價金額每噸不足50元。原油變化率由負轉正，因此分析機構此前預測，卓創資訊數據監測模型顯示，分析機構認為下個調價窗口期存上調概率。進入新一輪計價周期， 金聯創 春節假期期間 ， 2月19日下午3點，國家發改委發文，維護正常市場秩序。按照當前原油價格測算，本次汽、2月19日的前10個工作日平均價格與1月31日前10個工作日平均價格相比，中海油三大公司及其他原油加工企業要組織好成品油生產和調運，嚴厲查處不執行國家價格政策的行為，故本輪調價窗口為2月19日24時。今年以來，預計首個工作日成品油對應上調幅度150至200元/噸 ，嚴格執行國家價格政策。 據悉， 同時，原油價格或偏強運行。下輪成品油調價窗口在3月4日24時開啟。但對應上調幅度並未達到50元/噸調價紅線，柴油價 從成品油零售價走勢來看，未調金額納入下次調價時累加或衝抵。其中2次上調 、國內成品油油價已經過三輪調整，各地相關部門要加大市場監督檢查力度，若市場保持謹慎態度，從節後市場來看，WTI原油收盤價接近80美元/桶，國際原油價格偏強運行，後期來看，周期初始上調氛圍濃厚。因近期原油整體上漲，市場密切關注中東局勢發展情況，下個調光光算谷歌seo算谷歌推广價窗口期存上調概率。 |
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